RESUMEN
Abstract Introduction: Heart failure (HF) is a major concern in public health. We have used artificial intelligence to analyze information and improve patient outcomes. Method: An Observational, retrospective, and non-randomized study with patients enrolled in our telemonitoring program (May 2014-February 2018). We collected patients clinical data, telemonitoring transmissions, and HF decompensations. Results: A total of 240 patients were enrolled with a follow-up of 13.44 ± 8.65 months. During this interval, 527 HF decompensations in 148 different patients were detected. Significant weight increases, desaturation below 90% and perception of clinical worsening are good predictors of HF decompensation. We have built a predictive model applying machine learning (ML) techniques, obtaining the best results with the combination of "Weight + Ankle + well-being plus alerts of systolic and diastolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation, and heart rate." Conclusions: ML techniques are useful tools for the analysis of HF datasets and the creation of predictive models that improve the accuracy of the actual remote patient telemonitoring programs.
Resumen Introducción: La insuficiencia cardíaca (IC) es un motivo de gran preocupación en la salud pública. Hemos utilizado técnicas de aprendizaje automático para analizar información y mejorar los resultados. Métodos: Estudio observacional, retrospectivo y no aleatorizado, con los pacientes incluidos en el programa de telemonitorización de IC de nuestro centro desde mayo 2014 hasta febrero 2018. Se han analizado datos clínicos, transmisiones de telemonitorización y descompensaciones de IC. Resultados: 240 pacientes incluidos con un seguimiento de 13.44 ± 8.65 meses. En este intervalo se han detectado 527 descompensaciones de IC en 148 pacientes diferentes. Los aumentos significativos de peso, la desaturación inferior al 90% y la percepción de empeoramiento clínico, han resultado buenos predictores de la descompensación de IC. Hemos construido un modelo predictivo aplicando técnicas de aprendizaje automático obteniendo los mejores resultados con la combinación de "Peso + Edemas en EEII + empeoramiento clínico + alertas de tensión arterial sistólica y diastólica, saturación de oxígeno y frecuencia cardiaca". Conclusiones: Las técnicas de inteligencia artificial son herramientas útiles para el análisis de las bases de datos de IC y para la creación de modelos predictivos que mejoran la precisión de los programas de telemonitorización actuales.
RESUMEN
AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome caused by a structural and/or functional cardiac abnormality, resulting in a reduced cardiac output and/or elevated intracardiac pressures at rest or during stress. This disease often causes decompensations, which may lead to hospital admissions, deteriorating patients' quality of life and causing an increment on the healthcare cost. Environmental exposure is an important but underappreciated risk factor contributing to the development and severity of cardiovascular diseases, such as HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used two different sets of data (January 2012 to August 2017): one related to the number of hospital admissions and the other one related to the environmental factors (weather and air quality). Admissions related data were grouped in weeks, and then two different studies were performed: (i) a univariate regression to determine whether the admissions may influence future hospitalizations prediction and (ii) a multivariate regression to determine the impact of environmental factors on admission rates. A total number of 8338 hospitalizations of 5343 different patients are available in this dataset, with a mean of 4.02 admissions per day. In European warm period (from June to October), there are significant less admissions than that in the cold period (from December to March), with a clear seasonality of admissions, because there is a similar pattern every year. Air temperature is the most significant environmental factor (r = -0.3794, P < 0.001) related to HF hospital admissions, showing an inversed correlation. Some other attributes, such as precipitation (r = 0.0795, P = 0.05), along with SO2 (precursor of acid rain) (r = 0.2692, P < 0.001) and NOX air (major air pollutant formed by combustion systems and motor vehicles) (r = 0.2196, P < 0.001) quality parameters, are also relevant. Humidity and PM10 parameters do not have significant correlations in this study (r = 0.0469 and r = -0.0485 respectively), neither relevant P-values (P = 0.238 and P = 0.324, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Several environmental factors, such as weather temperature and precipitation, and major air pollutants, such as SO2 and NOX air, have an impact on the HF-related hospital admissions rate and, hence, on HF decompensations and patient's quality of life.
